The model sounding suggest a cloudbase of 5,500 feet while XC Skies says blue. We are post frontal. I believe there will be Cu and a great race day. Time will tell.
Brief Forecast from www.wunderground.com
This Afternoon
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Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. |
Tonight
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Clear. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. |
Hourly Forecast from www.weather.com
Surface Analysis Chart from www.aviationweather.gov/adds
Skew-T from NOAA through XC-Skies
Top of Lift from XC Skies
Cloudbase from XC Skies
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 930 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2011 NO CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST NEEDED. .DISCUSSION... FOG WAS ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. SURFACE DEW POINT TEMPS WERE IN THE UPPER 50S AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND IN THE 40S BEHIND. MORNING SOUNDING SHOWED ADVECTION FOG WAS 1600 FT THICK. VISIBILE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWED FOG AND LOW CLOUDS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 4 AND NORTH OF PUNTA GORDA. THIS WILL SLOWLY ERODE AND LIFT AS IT MOVES INTO FORT MYERS AREA BY 11 AM. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED REFLECTIVITY AS HIGH AS 45 DBZ NEAR THE UPPER MYAKKA RIVER WATERSHED AS A RESULT BIRDS TAKING OFF FOR THE MORNING.
