Brief Forecast from www.wunderground.com

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Hourly Forecast from www.weather.com

Surface Analysis Chart from www.aviationweather.gov/adds

 

Skew-T from NOAA through XC-Skies

Top of Lift from XC Skies

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
232 AM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-WEDNESDAY)...
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL CONTINUE THE PERIOD OF DRY AND TRANQUIL
WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. TODAY WILL START OUT WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS TAKING SHAPE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY REGION. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE OFF
THE EAST COAST AS THE LOW PRESSURE PUSHES A COLD FRONT INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY MIDWEEK. ALOFT THE ZONAL FLOW WILL
BECOME WEAKLY RIDGED AS A MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST. THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT WILL HAVE LITTLE
IMPACT ON THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS WILL STREAM ACROSS THE
REGION...BUT REMAIN MOSTLY TO THE NORTH. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THE SYSTEM...AND TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE IMPACTED AS THE
SYSTEM LIFTS QUICKLY NORTH AND NO COLD ADVECTION IS EXPECTED. THE
WARMING TREND OF THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL PERSIST AS 850 MB TEMPS
LINGER AROUND +12C. WITH A WEAK SURFACE GRADIENT IN PLACE...THE
SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING AND PUSH WELL INLAND.
TRENDED THE COASTAL TEMPERATURES COOLER AS PER THE LAST FEW DAYS
WHERE READINGS HAVE STRUGGLED INTO THE MID AND UPPER 60S...BUT
WITH AIRMASS MODIFICATION THEY SHOULD MAKE THE LOW 70S THE NEXT
FEW DAYS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE PRIOR TO DEVELOPMENT OF
ONSHORE WINDS.

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONSISTENT...DRY AND BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE THROUGH THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. A ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW ON THURSDAY WILL GIVE WAY
TO STRONG RIDGING BY FRIDAY. H5 HEIGHTS EXPECTED TO RISE TO THE
584-586 RANGE BY THE WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE...THE RIDGE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE CENTERED MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE STATE. WEAK
EASTERLY WILL GIVE WAY TO AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES EACH DAY.
HOWEVER...WITH PLENTY OF DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE IN PLACE...NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL OR CONVECTION FOR THAT
MATTER. TEMPS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD.