Uvalde Weather, 3 Aug 11

Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Expect clouds over much of the task area—8,000 ft bases rising to 9,000 ft later in the day and 10,000 ft and higher over the hill country to the north.

This is similar to what was experienced yesterday. We averaged close to 6 knots for average climb rates yesterday. Expect the same today.

 

Hourly Forecast from www.weather.com


Surface Analysis Chart from www.aviationweather.gov/adds


Skew-T from NOAA through XC-Skies


Thermal Tops XC Skies


Cloudbase from Dr. Jack


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 
624 AM CDT WED AUG 3 2011 

 

.DISCUSSION... 
SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION. 

 

&& 

 

.AVIATION... 
VFR

 

 CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH A LIGHT 
SSE LOW LEVEL FLOW. GUSTS TO NEAR 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT KDRT 
THIS AFTERNOON. 

 

&& 

 

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM CDT WED AUG 3 2011/ 

 

DISCUSSION... 
NO HEAT OR DROUGHT RELIEF IS IN SIGHT FOR THE NEXT WEEK TO 10 
DAYS. THE CENTER OF THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL BE NEAR THE ARK- 
LA-TEX...THEN SHIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT WEEK. 

 

AS NOTED OVER THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY ON TUESDAY...THERE IS 
ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY OF A LOCALIZED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AREA TO 
PRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING PEAK HEATING... 
BUT THIS DAILY POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CONSIDERED ABOUT 5 PERCENT AND 
TOO LITTLE TO WARRANT MENTION IN THE DAILY FORECASTS. DAILY 
HEATING AND VEGETATION DRYING COULD RESULT IN HIGHEST TEMPS FOR 
SATURDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE CENTER CLOSEST TO SOUTH CENTRAL TX. 
WITH TEMPERATURES ALREADY REACHING 105-107 IN SPOTS...WILL KEEP A 
MORE FLAT PROJECTION OF HIGHS FROM DAY TO DAY. 

 

THE NPW WAS EXTENDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND COULD LATER BE 
EXTENDED FURTHER INTO NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE GENERAL PATTERN ALOFT. 
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN THE UPPER HIGH BECOMES SHIFTED INTO NM AND 
FAR W TX...THE TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO TOP TRIPLE 
DIGITS...BUT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN EVENING THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
COULD DEVELOP OVER EASTERN COUNTIES AS HEIGHT FIELDS LOWER OVER 
LA/ERN TX. UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER THE NERN GULF CONTINUES TO MAKE 
IT DIFFICULT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL WAVES.